LSS Report 12 Detailed Cancer Mortality Data and Supplementary Tables September 13, 1996 The following notes describe files that are being distributed by RERF in conjunction with the publication of Report 12 Part 1 on cancer mortality in Life Span Study cohort of atomic bomb survivors. The paper by Pierce et. al. [Radiation Research 146:1-27, 1996] presents the results of some of RERF's analyses of these data. The data which we are making available includes two detailed data files, analysis script files that provide information on how these data can be used to reproduce the principal results in the report, and a set of supplementary tables that provide more detailed results for specific sites than could be included in the published paper. In the RERF analyses separate person-year tabulations were made for each organ dose. The solid cancer table included here was defined using colon dose (r12canc.dat). In order to allow you to carry out analyses based on doses to other organs, we have included a table of city and age at exposure specific organ dose adjustment factors (ds86adjf.dat). The leukemia, lymphoma, and myeloma cancer table included here was defined using bone marrow dose (r12leuk.dat). The primary files being provided by RERF include: r12canc.dat detailed person year table with data on all major cancer sites (DOS text file) r12leuk.dat detailed person year table with data on leukemia and other hematopoietic cancers (DOS text file) ds86adjf.dat adjustment factors that can be used to convert colon doses to approximate doses for other organs. (DOS text file) r12supp.xls Worksheet containing 54 supplementary tables with detailed results for 18 cancer categories (MS Excel worksheet) The solid cancer and leukemia data sets are detailed tabulations of person years, case counts, and summary data constructed from data on individual survivors. The cohort for analysis includes 86,572 survivors. This total includes survivors with DS86 shielded kerma estimates greater than 4 Gy. The data sets are structured to make it easy to exclude survivors with total shielded kerma estimates above 4 Gy as was done for some of the Report 12 analyses. Data on individual survivors were stratified on city, sex, age at exposure, attained age, calendar time, and dose to produce these data sets. Dose categories in the leukemia data set are defined in terms of total weighted bone marrow dose while dose categories in the solid cancer table are defined using weighted dose to the colon. These weighted doses were computed as the gamma dose plus ten times the neutron dose. As noted above, other site-specific analyses in Report 12 were based on data sets of the same basic form in which the data were grouped by the appropriate organ dose. It is impractical to distribute all of these data sets. However, as noted above, the disks contain city and age at exposure specific conversion factors that can be used to compute estimates of doses to other organs along with a command script that provides an explicit illustration of how one can use these factors to compute doses for other organs. In addition to detailed documentation of the content of each of the data files, EPICURE command script and log files for fitting some of the models that were used in the analyses for the published report are also available. These scripts also illustrate how the data can be read and how to convert colon dose estimates to approximate values for other organs. If these data are used as the basis for analyses in any publication including working papers or technical reports, a statement of acknowledgment must be included in the manuscript. This statement should read: This report makes use of data obtained from the Radiation Effects Research Foundation (RERF), Hiroshima and Nagasaki, Japan. RERF is a private, non-profit foundation funded by the Japanese Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare and the U.S. Department of Energy the latter through the National Academy of Sciences. The conclusions in this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the scientific judgment of RERF or its funding agencies. Please send a copy of any manuscripts which make use of these data to: Archives Unit, Library and Archives Section Information Technology Department Radiation Effects Research Foundation 5-2 Hijiyama Koen Minami-ku Hiroshima, 732-0815 JAPAN Format for the LSS Report 12 Cancer Mortality Data Files File Name Records Record Variables File Size Length (bytes) r12canc.dat 16,612 281 53 4.64MB r12leuk.dat 16,947 169 25 2.88MB File format: MS-DOS 3.5 inch 1.44 MB floppy disk, files are DOS text files and have been compressed using PKZIP. Creation date: September 13, 1996 For both files the first seven variables index the cross- classification used to define the tables and the next 13 variables (beginning with subjects at risk in the following table) are summary variables describing person years and numbers of people at risk, kerma, dose, age, and time for each cell. For the r12canc.dat file dose, weighted dose, and adjusted dose were computed using colon dose. For the r12leuk.dat table these quantities are computed in terms of dose to the marrow.. Variable Description Columns 1 City 1 - 3 1 - Hiroshima 2 - Nagasaki 2 Sex 4 - 6 1 - Male 2 - Female 3 Total shielded kerma 7 - 9 1 - Yes 2 - No 4 Age at exposure category index 10 - 12 1 0 - 4 9 40 - 44 2 5 - 9 10 45 - 49 3 10 - 15 11 50 - 54 4 15 - 19 12 55 - 59 5 20 - 24 13 60 - 64 6 25 - 29 14 65 - 69 7 30 - 34 15 70+ 8 35 - 39 5 Attained age category index 13 - 15 1 0 - 4 12 55 - 59 2 5 - 9 13 60 - 64 3 10 - 15 14 65 - 69 4 15 - 19 15 70 - 74 5 20 - 24 16 75 - 79 6 25 - 30 17 80 - 84 7 35 - 39 18 85 - 89 8 35 - 39 19 90 - 94 9 40 - 44 20 95 - 99 10 45 - 49 21 100+ 11 50 - 54 Variable Description Columns 6 RBE10 weighted organ dose category (colon 16 - 18 dose in r12canc.dat and marrow dose in r12leuk.dat) 1 0 - 0.005 8 0.75 - 1 2 0.005 - 0.02 9 1 - 1.5 3 0.02 - 0.05 10 1.5 - 2 4 0.05 - 0.1 11 2 - 2.5 5 0.1 - 0.2 12 2.5 - 3 6 0.2 - 0.5 13 3 - 4 7 0.5 - 0.75 14 4+ 7 Time period index 19 - 21 1 October 1, 1950 - December 31, 1952 2 January 1, 1953 - December 31, 1955 3 January 1, 1956 - December 31, 1960 4 January 1, 1961 - December 31, 1965 5 January 1, 1966 - December 31, 1970 6 January 1, 1971 - December 31, 1975 7 January 1, 1976 - December 31, 1980 8 January 1, 1981 - December 31, 1985 9 January 1, 1986 - December 31, 1987 10 January 1, 1988 - December 31, 1990 8 Subjects at risk 22 - 26 The number of people who contributed person-years to a cell 9 Person years 27 - 37 Total person years for all people ever at risk in the cell 10 Subjects entering study 38 - 46 This variable counts the number of people who began follow-up in a given cell in the table. It is zero for all cells corresponding to time periods after the first one. Summing this value gives the actual number of people ever at risk. It can be used to compute person- weighted mean doses and ages. 11 Attained age 47 - 55 Person year weighted mean attained age for all people ever at risk in the cell. 12 Age at exposure 56 - 64 Person year weighted mean age at exposure for all people ever at risk in the cell. 13 Years since exposure 65 - 73 Person year weighted mean years since exposure for all people ever at risk in the cell. 14 Year 74 - 83 Person year weighted mean calendar year for all people ever at risk in the cell. 15 Gamma shielded kerma (mGy) 84 - 92 Person-year weighted mean gamma shielded kerma. 16 Neutron shielded kerma (mGy) 93 - 101 Person-year weighted mean neutron shielded kerma. 17 Gamma organ dose (mGy) 102 - 110 Person-year weighted mean gamma organ dose. This is colon dose in r12canc.dat and marrow dose in r12leuk.dat 18 Neutron organ dose (mGy) 111 - 119 Person-year weighted mean neutron organ dose. This is colon dose in r12canc.dat and marrow dose in r12leuk.dat. 19 Weighted organ dose (Sv) 120 - 133 RBE 10 weighted organ dose, i.e. gamma + 10*neutron). This is colon dose in r12canc.dat and marrow dose in r12leuk.dat. 20 Adjusted and truncated 134 - 147 colon doses (Sv) Weighted organ dose after adjustment of the effect of random dosimetry errors and limiting total shielded kerma to 4 Gy. This is colon dose in r12canc.dat and marrow dose in r12leuk.dat. For both data sets, the above variables are followed by a set of case count variables, that give the number of deaths due to specific causes in each cell of the table. All of the case count variables listed below are included in r12canc.dat file. Cause of Death ICD (9th Rev) Columns 21 All deaths any 148 - 152 22 All Cancers 140 - 208 153 - 157 23 Leukemia 204 - 208 158 - 161 24 Non-leukemia 140 - 203 162 - 165 Total deaths from cancers other than leukemia 25 Solid Cancers 140 -199 166 - 169 Total solid cancers which equals total cancer deaths minus the number of leukemia, myeloma, and malignant lymphoma deaths. 26 Tongue 141 170 - 173 27 Pharynx 146 - 149 174 - 177 28 Digestive 150 - 178 - 181 system 155(0,1,2) 156 - 159 39 Esophagus 150 182 - 185 30 Stomach 151 186 - 189 31 Colon 153 190 - 193 32 Rectum 154 194 - 197 33 Liver 155 (0,1, 198 - 201 2) Includes both deaths attributed to primary liver cancer and deaths which were not specified as primary or secondary liver cancer 34 Gallbladder 156 202 - 205 35 Pancreas 157 206 - 209 36 Other 152, 158, 210 - 213 digestive 159 37 Respiratory 160 - 165 214 - 217 system 38 Nose 160 218 - 221 39 Larynx 161 222 - 225 40 Lung 162 226 - 229 41 Bone and 170 230 - 233 connective tissue 42 Non-melanoma 173 234 - 237 skin 43 Female breast 174 238 - 241 44 Uterus 180 - `82 242 - 245 45 Cervix 180 246 - 249 46 Ovary 183 250 - 253 47 Prostate 185 254 - 257 48 Urinary 188, 189 258 - 261 system 49 Bladder 188 262 - 265 Although the published report lists 118 bladder cancer deaths there were in fact 119. 50 Kidney 189 (0,1) 266 - 269 Cause of ICD (9th Columns Death Rev) 51 Brain and CNS 191, 225.0 270 - 273 237.5 239.6 Includes both malignant and benign tumors. The total number of tumors (78) is less than the number given in Report 12 (95 cases) because of a restriction to people with underlying cause of death listed as a brain or CNS tumor on the death certificate. The larger number of cases noted in the report included 17 people who had brain or CNS tumors listed only as a contributing cause on the death certificate. We do not provide the brain/CNS split here since only 5 of the death certificate cases were classified as CNS tumors. The breakdown given in the Report was based on a special review. (A detailed report on brain and CNS cancer incidence will soon be completed.) 52 Malignant 200 - 202 274 - 277 Lymphoma 53 Multiple 203 278 - 281 Myeloma The r12leuk.dat table includes only the following case count variables. Cause of Death ICD (9th Rev) Columns 21 All Deaths any 148 - 152 22 All Cancers 140 - 208 153 - 157 23 Leukemia 204 - 208 158 - 161 24 Malignant 200 - 202 162 - 165 Lymphoma 25 Multiple 203 166 - 169 Myeloma Differences between the data in these files and the description given in LSS Report 12. There are some minor differences between these data sets and the data sets described in the published report. In particular, in the published Report the first three calendar time periods are indicated as having lower bounds of October 10, 1950, and January 1 of 1954 and January 1, 1958. However, the tables we are releasing have calendar time periods for period through December 31, 1960 defined with lower bounds on October 10, 1950 and January 1, 1953 and January 1, 1956. These tie periods were used in the final analyses for the published report. In addition to the slight change in calendar time periods, the category of brain tumor deaths is defined differently than in the paper and the table includes one additional bladder cancer case than indicated in the published paper. This "extra" case was included in the final bladder cancer analyses for the paper. Supplementary files The supplementary files in this package include several EPICURE script and log files that may help you make use of these data and a table of adjustment factors that can be used to convert colon doses to approximate doses for other organs. File name Type Description r12canc.scr epicure script Commands to read r12canc.dat into amfit or other epicure programs r12slmod.scr epicure script Commands to reproduce the basic solid cancer model (page 11) and the solid cancer excess risk table (Table II, page 5) in LSS Report 12 r12slmod.log epicure log Results of running the r12slmod.scr script r12leuk.scr epicure script Commands to read r12leuk.dat into amfit or other epicure programs r12lkmod.scr epicure script Commands to reproduce the basic leukemia model (page 12) and the leukemia excess risk table (Table V, page 7) in LSS Report 12 r12lkmod.log epicure log Results of running the r12lkmod.scr script ds86adjf.scr epicure script Commands to compute approximate adjusted organ doses from colon dose components The following table describes the format and contents of the organ dose adjustment factor file File Name #Records Record Variables File Size Length per record (bytes) DS86ADJF.DAT 90 24 5 2,340 File Format: MS-DOS 3.5-inch 1.44 MB, or 5.25-inch 1.2 MB Creation Date: 9 September 1994 Cross-classification variables are items 1-3. Summary variables are items 4-5. For each cell in the table, gamma and neutron organ dose adjustment factors from colon dose are given for each of the fifteen organs incorporated into the DS86 system. The table is cross-classified by city and age as well. The age groups chosen reflect the use of three different phantoms in the DS86 system; choice of the appropriate phantom was based upon age of the individual at the time of exposure. The analyses for LSS Report 12 were carried out using tables constructed directly from DS86 organ dose estimates and did not rely on these approximations. As a result of this, parameter estimates using these approximated values will differ somewhat from those in the report. Variable Description Columns 1 Organ 1 - 2 01 Skeleton 09 Lung 02 Marrow 10 Ovary 03 Urinary 11 Pancreas bladder 12 Stomach 04 Brain 13 Testes 05 Breast 14 Thyroid 06 Lens of eye 15 Uterus 07 Large intestine 08 Liver 2 City 6 1 - Hiroshima 2 - Nagasaki 3 Age at exposure group 10 1 Infant (0-2 years) 2 Child (3-11 years) 3 Adult (12+ years) 4 Mean neutron organ adjustment factor 11 - 17 5 Mean gamma organ adjustment factor 18 - 24 LSS Report 12: Supplementary Tables This document describes supplementary tables summarizing site- specific cancer mortality data for the Life Span Study (LSS) during the period from October 1, 1950 through the end of 1990. The primary analyses and discussion of these data are given in Part 1 of LSS Report 12. In addition to these tables, RERF has released two datasets that provide detailed stratification of these mortality data by city, sex, organ (colon or marrow) dose, age at exposure, and time since exposure. The results presented herein are based on organ- dose-specific tables of cases and person years. The tables are included in an Excel 7.0 worksheet file called R12Supp.xls. Three tables are presented for each of the cancers or groups of cancers listed in Table 1. The last two tables in each set summarize the distribution of the observed and expected numbers of cases together with person-years by dose and time period or age at exposure categories. These tables also indicate the total number of people by dose category and sex. The expected numbers of cases in each table were computed on the basis of a stratified excess relative risk (ERR) model that was linear in dose and allowed for age-at-exposure and, where relevant, sex effects on the ERR. Expected numbers of cases are computed from the stratified background model, with stratification on city, sex, age at exposure, and attained age. The ERR estimate is simply observed divided by expected minus one. Table 1: Cancers used in supplementary tables Cancer / ICD codes Organ dose Cancer Group (9th Rev) Solid cancers 140 - 199 colon Leukemia 204 - 208 bone marrow Stomach 151 stomach Lung 162 lung Liver 155 (0, 1, 2) liver Colon 153 colon Rectum 154 bladder Pancreas 157 pancreas Esophagus 150 bone marrow Gallbladder 156 liver Bladder 188 bladder Uterus 179 - 182 uterus Female breast 174 breast Ovary 183 ovary Prostate 185 bladder Other Solid all other colon Cancers codes between 140 and 199 Malignant 200-202 bone Lymphoma marrow Multiple 203 bone Myeloma marrow The first table in each set presents parameter estimates and the results of selected hypothesis tests for the site. With the exception of the test for a non-linear dose response, which is based only on those people with DS86 shielded kerma estimates of less than 4 Gy, these estimates and tests are based on analyses of all LSS for whom DS86 doses have been computed. Detailed results for both excess relative and excess absolute risk models are presented for sites for which the number of cases was large and there was evidence of a radiation-related excess risk. For other sites parameter estimates and hypothesis tests were carried out for a limited number of factors only for ERR models. Models used for analyses and hypothesis tests The ERR analyses were based on stratified background models. The stratification variables were city, sex, age at exposure, and attained age. In the more detailed analyses the basic model for the ERR was linear in dose with sex and age at exposure as modifying factors. This ERR used in this model can be written as: ERR = b d exp ( b (e - 30)) 1s 2 where b is a sex-dependent dose effect and b represents the effect 1s 2 of age at exposure (e). Because of the way in which e appears in the model, the dose effect parameters correspond to the risk for a person who was 30 years of age at exposure. The effect of attained age on the ERR was examined by adding term that is linear in log attained age to the exponential term in the above model. In looking at city effects, it was assumed that the effect would be the same for men and women. In those sites for which the number of excess cases was insufficient to allow working with the full model, neither age-at-exposure nor sex effects were routinely included in the models. With the exception of breast cancer, excess absolute risks were modeled relative to a fully parametric model for the background risks. Under the model the logarithm of the background risks was described as a sex-specific quadratic spline in log attained age with a single knot at age 70. The intercept in this model was allowed to depend on sex, city, and year of birth. Background risks for breast cancer were modeled in terms of a log-linear spline in attained age with a single knot at age 50. The intercept was allowed to depend on city and birth cohort. The basic model used for the excess absolute risk is EAR = b d exp ( b ln(age/50)) 1s 2 where age is attained age and thus the sex-specific dose coefficients describe the risk at age 50. Technical notes on hypothesis tests and confidence intervals In most cases hypothesis tests are based on likelihood ratio tests and confidence intervals were computed by direct evaluation of the profile likelihood. However, there are situations in which it is not possible to compute the likelihood ratio statistic or, somewhat more often, likelihood- based confidence bounds. These situations arise when the dose effect is negative for some subset of the population either at the maximum likelihood estimate or at some point in the confidence region for the parameter of interest. If the maximum likelihood estimate did not exist the score test was used. Cases in which confidence bounds could not be computed are indicated as N.C.in the tables. A related problem occurs in the computation of confidence intervals for ratios of effects (i.e. sex and city effect ratios). If the joint confidence interval for the numerator and denominator includes 0 for both effects, all values of the ratio are consistent with the data. This is indicated by the phrase 'all values' in the tables. If the joint confidence interval includes 0 for the denominator but not the numerator, the confidence interval for the ratioconsists of all points outside of some interval. In such cases we report only the upper interval indicating a positive lower bound and an infinite upper bound (indicated as inf in the tables.). In most cases the negative interval cannot be computed for the models that we consider.
Copyright 2003. Radiation Effects Research Foundation |